2025 prior construction40% full 2025 regular season + 60% each team/player's final 8
games.
Week 2 recency blend75% 2025 prior + 25% 2026 Week 1. Players without a 2025 history
use their 2026 Week 1 result.
Defensive vulnerabilityPPR allowed 45%, opportunities allowed 20%, yards allowed 20%,
EPA allowed 15%, calculated separately for QB/RB/WR/TE.
Player baselinePPR 45%, opportunities 25%, yards 20%, EPA 10%, percentile-ranked
within position.
Final matchup score60% player baseline percentile + 40% opponent defensive
vulnerability percentile, then re-ranked within position.
Interpretation90+ = elite profile, 80–89 = strong, 60–79 = above average. A
high defensive percentile means the defense has been more
permissive to that position.